Back to site

Team Rating Sigma Upper_Bound Lower_Bound
1 Denver 2917.923043 387.664369 3693.251782 2142.594305
2 NewEngland 2903.055308 399.593089 3702.241486 2103.869129
3 Cincinnati 2888.591325 393.624934 3675.841193 2101.341457
4 GreenBay 2852.995960 389.686042 3632.368045 2073.623875
5 Carolina 2695.486823 432.104709 3559.696240 1831.277405
6 Atlanta 2321.893390 344.420036 3010.733463 1633.053318
7 Pittsburgh 2242.349612 312.822193 2867.993998 1616.705227
8 Minnesota 2190.113026 375.488450 2941.089926 1439.136126
9 Indianapolis 2145.786956 342.365652 2830.518259 1461.055652
10 NewYorkJ 2101.602636 369.275511 2840.153658 1363.051613
11 Buffalo 2042.683515 344.417677 2731.518868 1353.848162
12 Cleveland 2031.377925 331.511795 2694.401516 1368.354335
13 NewYorkG 2028.396343 321.363720 2671.123784 1385.668903
14 StLouis 2023.039198 358.939676 2740.918549 1305.159847
15 Philadelphia 2002.558259 307.994423 2618.547106 1386.569413
16 Arizona 2000.298603 343.781252 2687.861107 1312.736099
17 NewOrleans 1938.746556 318.218266 2575.183088 1302.310025
18 Oakland 1876.708241 356.937050 2590.582340 1162.834142
19 SanDiego 1854.813618 332.563590 2519.940799 1189.686438
20 Houston 1816.878883 347.059434 2510.997750 1122.760016
21 TampaBay 1786.597000 367.234274 2521.065548 1052.128452
22 Seattle 1781.359173 379.943932 2541.247037 1021.471309
23 SanFrancisco 1780.684557 349.875430 2480.435417 1080.933696
24 Washington 1759.992392 331.137601 2422.267595 1097.717190
25 Dallas 1731.230381 382.974310 2497.179001 965.281761
26 Miami 1675.789625 353.371144 2382.531913 969.047338
27 Chicago 1659.461167 316.548986 2292.559138 1026.363195
28 KansasCity 1530.129358 353.829504 2237.788366 822.470350
29 Detroit 1529.118923 354.371600 2237.862122 820.375723
30 Baltimore 1504.591097 331.464242 2167.519580 841.662613
31 Jacksonville 1432.884565 325.491739 2083.868043 781.901088
32 Tennessee 1363.566735 353.093211 2069.753156 657.380314

Sigma is an expression of confidence in a team's rating. You can treat it as a measure of uncertainty in the rating value, so a lower value means we're more certain about a rating than a higher value.
Upper and lower bounds are a 95% confidence interval for the team's rating, meaning that their true skill rating lies somewhere between those two values (that's not an entirely accurate explanation of a confidence interval, but for our purposes it'll do).


Copyright 2015 BrandonHarris.io. All Rights Reserved