Back to site

Team Rating Sigma Upper_Bound Lower_Bound
1 NewEngland 2958.218954 378.275724 3714.770402 2201.667507
2 Denver 2917.923043 387.664369 3693.251782 2142.594305
3 Cincinnati 2888.591325 393.624934 3675.841193 2101.341457
4 GreenBay 2852.995960 389.686042 3632.368045 2073.623875
5 Carolina 2773.821093 400.713666 3575.248425 1972.393761
6 Atlanta 2350.173637 333.135227 3016.444091 1683.903184
7 Minnesota 2252.553215 353.938121 2960.429457 1544.676973
8 StLouis 2176.385546 325.305101 2826.995748 1525.775345
9 NewYorkG 2110.528064 302.117954 2714.763971 1506.292157
10 NewOrleans 2092.689292 291.574848 2675.838987 1509.539596
11 Arizona 2070.059038 322.997787 2716.054612 1424.063465
12 NewYorkJ 2054.489859 352.535494 2759.560847 1349.418872
13 Oakland 2023.154475 324.357533 2671.869540 1374.439410
14 Pittsburgh 2010.262537 283.711059 2577.684656 1442.840418
15 Indianapolis 1967.605116 308.922367 2585.449849 1349.760382
16 Philadelphia 1962.751249 296.887979 2556.527207 1368.975291
17 Seattle 1946.415150 342.400271 2631.215693 1261.614608
18 Cleveland 1900.563909 305.228304 2511.020517 1290.107301
19 Washington 1892.450878 305.042979 2502.536836 1282.364920
20 Miami 1846.767255 319.736627 2486.240509 1207.294002
21 KansasCity 1827.022993 311.045060 2449.113113 1204.932873
22 Buffalo 1783.863212 306.185713 2396.234638 1171.491786
23 SanDiego 1727.677966 306.399990 2340.477946 1114.877985
24 Jacksonville 1664.052119 293.447091 2250.946300 1077.157938
25 Chicago 1659.461167 316.548986 2292.559138 1026.363195
26 Houston 1651.952359 315.258335 2282.469030 1021.435689
27 SanFrancisco 1640.711941 320.814838 2282.341616 999.082266
28 TampaBay 1623.698788 331.256221 2286.211229 961.186346
29 Dallas 1614.602805 349.897672 2314.398149 914.807462
30 Detroit 1473.502167 336.328591 2146.159348 800.844985
31 Baltimore 1439.738029 312.886123 2065.510274 813.965783
32 Tennessee 1333.844790 340.917347 2015.679483 652.010097

Sigma is an expression of confidence in a team's rating. You can treat it as a measure of uncertainty in the rating value, so a lower value means we're more certain about a rating than a higher value.
Upper and lower bounds are a 95% confidence interval for the team's rating, meaning that their true skill rating lies somewhere between those two values (that's not an entirely accurate explanation of a confidence interval, but for our purposes it'll do).


Copyright 2015 BrandonHarris.io. All Rights Reserved